NYC Mayor 2025: Kalshi vs. Polymarket (Live Odds + What to Watch)
Side-by-side embeds for the party-winner market on Kalshi and the Zohran Mamdani contract on Polymarket, plus fresh polls and key dates.
Snapshot (Oct. 20, 2025)
Public polling has Zohran Mamdani (D) leading in recent LV samples, with Andrew Cuomo (Independent) second and Curtis Sliwa (R) third. A two-way hypothetical without Sliwa is notably tighter. Treat individual polls as one noisy draw; the signal is in the ensemble and late LV screens.
Debates & Key Dates
- Official debates: WNBC/NY1 under the NYC Campaign Finance Board program (October schedule).
- Early Voting (NYC): Sat, Oct 25 – Sun, Nov 2, 2025.
- Election Day (NY): Tue, Nov 4, 2025 — polls open 6 a.m.–9 p.m.
Trading Catalysts
- Debate nights & post-debate coverage can move lines within minutes.
- Fresh LV polling near the finish often drives the final drift.
- Turnout/administrative headlines (early vote, ballot mechanics) can reprice quickly.
Latest Coverage: NYC Mayor 2025
Auto-updating headlines from our curated sources.
- New York City’s investment banks are shrinking, while paying more – eFinancialCareers
- NY Mayor Raped Teen Girl For Three Years In Clifton Park: State Police – dailyvoice.com
- New York City seeks to stop defending former Mayor Eric Adams in sex assault suit – NBC News
- Enterprise minister to meet New York Mayor Mamdani during St Patrick’s Day visit to US – Irish Examiner
- Two teens charged over ‘Islamic State-inspired’ attack outside Mamdani home – The Guardian
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