New Jersey Governor 2025: Kalshi vs. Polymarket (Live Odds + What to Watch)
Side-by-side embeds for GOVPARTYNJ-25 and Polymarket’s NJ Governor Winner, plus the latest polling and key dates.
Where the Numbers Stand (Polling)
The latest reputable public survey (Quinnipiac University, Oct 15) shows Mikie Sherrill (D) 50% vs Jack Ciattarelli (R) 44%, with minor-party candidates at 1% each among likely voters. Enthusiasm splits favor Ciattarelli (91% of his backers “extremely/very enthusiastic” vs. 86% for Sherrill). [source]
Key Dates (NJ)
- Early In-Person Voting: Sat, Oct 25 – Sun, Nov 2, 2025 (statewide; hours vary by county). [source]
- Election Day: Tue, Nov 4, 2025 (polls 6:00 a.m. – 8:00 p.m.). [source]
Check your county Board of Elections for exact early-voting locations/hours.
How to Read These Lines (Quick Framework)
- Price → Probability: Treat price as probability, then haircut for fees/slippage.
- Order Book > Last Print: Thin depth or wide spreads can make the last trade misleading; watch refill speed after sweeps.
- Catalysts: Late polls, turnout signals during early voting, and any admin/legal headlines can move both markets quickly.
Latest Coverage: New Jersey Governor 2025
Auto-updating headlines from our curated sources.
Latest Coverage: New Jersey Governor 2025
Auto-updating headlines from our curated sources.
- Recap: NJ Governor’s race: Sherrill leads Ciattarelli in Rutgers poll – NBC10 Philadelphia
- Aide to Republican candidate for NJ governor says he isn’t ‘taking money from Jews’ – The Times of Israel
- MAGA star joins Ciattarelli on campaign trail in New Jersey as Republicans aim to flip governor’s office – Fox News
- Democrats’ Fears About New Jersey Governor’s Race May Be Overblown – New York Magazine
- Jack Ciattarelli, New Jersey governor candidate, meets with USA TODAY Network NJ editors – Bergen Record
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