New Jersey Governor 2025: Kalshi vs. Polymarket (Live Odds + What to Watch)
Side-by-side embeds for GOVPARTYNJ-25 and Polymarket’s NJ Governor Winner, plus the latest polling and key dates.
Where the Numbers Stand (Polling)
The latest reputable public survey (Quinnipiac University, Oct 15) shows Mikie Sherrill (D) 50% vs Jack Ciattarelli (R) 44%, with minor-party candidates at 1% each among likely voters. Enthusiasm splits favor Ciattarelli (91% of his backers “extremely/very enthusiastic” vs. 86% for Sherrill). [source]
Key Dates (NJ)
- Early In-Person Voting: Sat, Oct 25 – Sun, Nov 2, 2025 (statewide; hours vary by county). [source]
- Election Day: Tue, Nov 4, 2025 (polls 6:00 a.m. – 8:00 p.m.). [source]
Check your county Board of Elections for exact early-voting locations/hours.
How to Read These Lines (Quick Framework)
- Price → Probability: Treat price as probability, then haircut for fees/slippage.
- Order Book > Last Print: Thin depth or wide spreads can make the last trade misleading; watch refill speed after sweeps.
- Catalysts: Late polls, turnout signals during early voting, and any admin/legal headlines can move both markets quickly.
Latest Coverage: New Jersey Governor 2025
Auto-updating headlines from our curated sources.
Latest Coverage: New Jersey Governor 2025
Auto-updating headlines from our curated sources.
- Mikie Sherrill provides few answers in first appearance since lieutenant governor investigation surfaced – Politico
- New Jersey Sweepstakes Casinos in 2026: Legal Status, Restrictions, & Legal Alternatives – rg.org
- Dale Caldwell: What we know about New Jersey’s lieutenant governor – The Jersey Vindicator
- 2025 Governor’s Environmental Excellence Award Winners – New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection (.gov)
- New Jersey’s governor says 4,500 noncitizens will be removed from voter rolls – StateScoop
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