New Jersey Governor 2025: Kalshi vs. Polymarket (Live Odds + What to Watch)
Side-by-side embeds for GOVPARTYNJ-25 and Polymarket’s NJ Governor Winner, plus the latest polling and key dates.
Where the Numbers Stand (Polling)
The latest reputable public survey (Quinnipiac University, Oct 15) shows Mikie Sherrill (D) 50% vs Jack Ciattarelli (R) 44%, with minor-party candidates at 1% each among likely voters. Enthusiasm splits favor Ciattarelli (91% of his backers “extremely/very enthusiastic” vs. 86% for Sherrill). [source]
Key Dates (NJ)
- Early In-Person Voting: Sat, Oct 25 – Sun, Nov 2, 2025 (statewide; hours vary by county). [source]
- Election Day: Tue, Nov 4, 2025 (polls 6:00 a.m. – 8:00 p.m.). [source]
Check your county Board of Elections for exact early-voting locations/hours.
How to Read These Lines (Quick Framework)
- Price → Probability: Treat price as probability, then haircut for fees/slippage.
- Order Book > Last Print: Thin depth or wide spreads can make the last trade misleading; watch refill speed after sweeps.
- Catalysts: Late polls, turnout signals during early voting, and any admin/legal headlines can move both markets quickly.
Latest Coverage: New Jersey Governor 2025
Auto-updating headlines from our curated sources.
Latest Coverage: New Jersey Governor 2025
Auto-updating headlines from our curated sources.
- Nearly 400 noncitizens voted in elections in New Jersey, governor says – The Washington Post
- Hundreds of non-citizens voted in NJ elections since 2023 — but Dem gov still blames Trump – New York Post
- 6,600 noncitizens registered to vote after error in New Jersey motor vehicle system, governor says – AP News
- 6,600 noncitizens registered to vote after error in New Jersey motor vehicle system, governor says – WJTV
- Error in New Jersey motor vehicle system led to 6,600 noncitizen voter registrations, governor says – InformNNY.com
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